Why the Gig Economy’s Second Act Could Be Worse Than the First

By Gabriel Soto

When the gig economy burst onto the scene in the early 2010s, it came wrapped in the language of freedom. Be your own boss. Set your own hours. Work from anywhere. For a while, it felt like a bargain—especially for people shut out of traditional jobs or looking to make ends meet on their own terms.

But beneath the app-based convenience, the first act of the gig economy carried hidden costs: income instability, lack of benefits, algorithmic control. Many workers discovered that “flexibility” could mean unpredictable schedules and “independence” often came without a safety net.

Now, as the sector evolves, we’re entering what I call the second act—and the warning signs suggest it may be even harsher than the first.

A Shift in Who’s Driving the Work

In the early days, gig platforms were disruptors, struggling to scale and win market share. That made them unusually generous: bonuses for new sign-ups, low commission rates, incentives for customer loyalty. Now, with established dominance in many markets, the incentives are shifting—not toward the worker, but toward squeezing every last drop of efficiency from them.

Recent platform updates in ride-hailing and delivery apps have introduced variable pay schemes that adjust earnings in real time based on demand, driver behavior, and even customer tipping patterns. The algorithms aren’t just matching workers to jobs—they’re nudging, shaping, and sometimes outright manipulating how and when those workers operate.

Benefits Without the Benefit

A new buzzword has entered the conversation: “portable benefits.” In theory, this means workers could carry health insurance, retirement savings, or paid leave from one gig to another, without being tied to a single employer. In practice, most current proposals are voluntary, underfunded, or shift costs to workers themselves.

It’s like being told you have access to a life raft—so long as you inflate it yourself, and the pump costs extra.

The Automation Creep

If act one of the gig economy was about replacing human intermediaries with software, act two is about replacing the humans themselves. Delivery robots, autonomous vehicles, and AI customer service agents are no longer science fiction. They’re pilot projects. And when platforms no longer need as many workers, the ones who remain will have even less leverage to negotiate terms.

What the Data Tells Us

Economic modeling suggests that as platforms consolidate and automate, gig earnings will polarize: a small tier of high-skill freelancers commanding premium rates, and a large base of low-skill gig workers facing stagnant or declining pay. Without structural safeguards—like sector-wide bargaining or universal benefits—this polarization will deepen inequality.

A Different Second Act

The gig economy isn’t inherently doomed to exploit workers. In some countries, regulation is already catching up. Spain’s “Rider Law” reclassifies many delivery workers as employees. In Washington State, collective bargaining agreements have been negotiated for rideshare drivers.

The question is whether policymakers, workers, and yes, even the platforms themselves, will choose a second act defined by shared prosperity—or by the quiet erosion of labor standards in the name of efficiency.

If act one was a cautionary tale, act two could be the turning point. But only if we decide to rewrite the script.